- Pete Hegseth bu kişilerden ilki olarak 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar azledilecek mi?37¢%37
- Donald Trump, bu kişilerden 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar azledilen ilk kişi olacak mı?24¢%24
- Bu kişilerden hiçbiri 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar görevden alınacak mı?23¢%23
- Todd Blanche bu kişiler arasından 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar azledilen ilk kişi olacak mı?8¢%8
- Bu kişilerden ilki olarak Howard Lutnick'in 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar azledileceği doğru mu?5¢%5
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar bu kişiler arasında ilk azledilen olacak mı?4¢%4
- Bu kişiler arasında ilk olarak 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar görevden alınacak kişi Clarence Thomas olacak mı?2¢%2
- Samuel Alito, 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar bu kişiler arasında ilk azledilen olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- JD Vance bu kişiler arasında 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar azledilen ilk kişi olacak mı?<1¢<%1
%2%36,5Pete Hegseth$8,6 B hacim
%23,5Donald Trump$4,4 B hacim- %1%22,5Hiç kimse$9,6 B hacim
%8,2Todd Blanche$2,7 B hacim
%4,5Howard Lutnick$1,7 B hacim
%3,6Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$1,6 B hacim
%2,1Clarence Thomas$1,5 B hacim
%0,6Samuel Alito$1,3 B hacim
Recent Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms have elevated impeachment prospects for several Trump administration figures by shifting House control and enabling new investigations. Pete Hegseth leads market pricing due to immediate bipartisan pressure, including Rep. Thomas Massie's planned House vote next week on articles citing unauthorized military actions in Iran and related constitutional concerns, amid Republican losses and internal administration friction. Donald Trump follows as traders price in renewed Democratic scrutiny of executive actions, though Senate conviction thresholds remain high. "Nobody" reflects historical barriers to removal and lame-duck session limits. Lower-priced outcomes like Todd Blanche, Howard Lutnick, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. tie to earlier resolutions with less current momentum, while Supreme Court justices and JD Vance show minimal near-term legislative focus.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order. In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United States House of Representatives by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.