- Spider-Man: Brand New Day, 2026'da yurt içinde en iyi ikinci açılış hafta sonunu yapacak mı?72¢%72
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?27¢%27
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?<1¢<%1
- Will Dune: Messiah have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?<1¢<%1
- Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?<1¢<%1
- %1%71,5Spider-Man: Brand New Day$113,2 B hacim
- %10%26,5Avengers: Doomsday$109,5 B hacim
- %0,2The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping$14,3 B hacim
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic debut in late July has positioned it as the clear market favorite at 71% implied probability to finish with the second-largest 2026 opening weekend. Traders are pricing in the film’s unprecedented per-theater averages, franchise momentum, and global tracking that dwarfed every other summer release, including Toy Story 5’s $160 million June start and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $132 million April bow. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 26.5% amid ongoing Marvel anticipation and release-date positioning, while the cluster of other titles at 50% reflects limited verified data and high uncertainty around remaining 2026 slate performance. Upcoming holiday and year-end releases could still shift momentum if any post-summer opener exceeds current benchmarks, though historical patterns favor established tentpoles for top openings.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.