- Google, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya yapay zekâya sahip olacak mı?77¢%77
- MiniMax, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya yapay zekâya sahip olacak mı?20¢%20
- Kasım 2026 sonunda SpaceXAI en iyi Görüntüden Videoya Yapay Zekaya sahip olacak mı?3¢%3
- Alibaba (Alibaba-ATH dahil) Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya AI'ya sahip olacak mı?3¢%3
- Luma AI, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya Yapay Zekaya sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Pika, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya AI sistemine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Runway, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya yapay zekasına sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Pruna, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden-Videoya Yapay Zekâ'ya sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- ByteDance, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya AI'ya sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Shengshu, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya YZ'ye sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Black Forest Labs Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya AI'ya sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- KlingAI, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Görüntüden Videoya Yapay Zekâya sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
%28%77,3Google$6,5 B hacim
%30%19,5MiniMax$11,4 B hacim
%2,8SpaceXAI$965,5 hacim
%2%2,8Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH$953,3 hacim
%0,6Luma AI$641,4 hacim
%0,5Pika$934,8 hacim
%0,4Runway$922,4 hacim
%0,4Pruna$791,1 hacim
%0,3ByteDance$812,7 hacim
%0,3Shengshu$1,5 B hacim
Google's dominant 75.9% market-implied odds stem from the November 5 release of Gemini Omni 1.2 Flash, which adds native 15-second clips, multi-turn conversational editing, stronger character and object consistency, and 30% lower pricing while maintaining top-tier prompt adherence and reference-image support. Independent arenas show Google models leading or tied for first in blind image-to-video preference votes, outpacing competitors through superior physics, lip-sync, and production-scale reliability. MiniMax (21.5%) remains a credible challenger via its H3 model's reference volume and 4K options, yet lacks Google's recent momentum and ecosystem integration. Lower-probability names such as Alibaba's Wan series, ByteDance Seedance, and Kling reflect capable but less frequently updated offerings that traders view as unlikely to overtake the leader before month-end resolution.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".