- Anthropic'in Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi yapay zeka ajanına sahip olacak mı?80¢%80
- OpenAI, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi yapay zeka ajanına sahip olacak mı?12¢%12
- Google, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi yapay zeka aracına sahip olacak mı?8¢%8
- SpaceXAI, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Yapay Zeka Ajanına sahip olacak mı?1¢%1
- Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Yapay Zekâ Ajanı Alibaba'nın mı olacak?<1¢<%1
- Moonshot Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Yapay Zekâ Ajanına sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- DeepSeek, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Yapay Zekâ Ajanına sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Xiaomi 2026 Kasım ayı sonunda en iyi Yapay Zeka Ajanına sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Tencent 2026 Kasım ayı sonunda en iyi yapay zeka ajana sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Meituan, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Yapay Zekâ Ajanı'na sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Z.ai, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi Yapay Zeka Ajanı'na sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Meta, Kasım 2026 sonunda en iyi AI Agent'a sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
%1%79,5Anthropic$15,6 B hacim
%3%12OpenAI$7,8 B hacim
%1%8,2Google$2,6 B hacim
%1,1SpaceXAI$1,3 B hacim
%0,8Alibaba$1 B hacim
%0,5Moonshot$924 hacim
%0,5DeepSeek$906,2 hacim
%0,5Xiaomi$863,4 hacim
%0,5Tencent$904,5 hacim
%0,4Z.ai$1,2 B hacim
%0,4Meta$1,2 B hacim
%0,3MiniMax$842,4 hacim
Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 76.5% implied probability for delivering the best AI agent by end of November, reflecting its recent Claude model releases that have demonstrated stronger autonomous tool use, multi-step reasoning, and integration with external systems compared with peers. OpenAI and Google sit far behind at roughly 10% each, consistent with slower public progress on fully agentic large language models amid ongoing safety and capability refinements. Lower-odds entrants such as SpaceXAI, Alibaba, and others remain under 2%, underscoring limited verified breakthroughs in this narrow window. Upcoming developer conferences and any surprise model updates in the next three weeks represent the main near-term catalysts that could alter current market-implied odds before resolution.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.