What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
Gold (XAUUSD) has rebounded sharply in early November 2026 to around $4,115–$4,140 per ounce after testing sub-$3,900 lows in late October, driven primarily by a post-midterm weakening of the US dollar and declining Treasury yields following Democratic congressional gains. Central bank purchases reached a net 321 tonnes in Q3, up 42% year-over-year, while ETF holdings hit a record 4,256 tonnes, providing structural support amid softer retail demand. Markets currently price an approximately 80% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the December meeting, with the November 6 nonfarm payrolls release as the key near-term catalyst that could shift rate expectations, Treasury yields, and dollar direction. Geopolitical developments affecting oil prices add further volatility to inflation and monetary policy outlooks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.