Portugal leads Group A4 with 12 points after five matches and has already secured quarter-final qualification in the UEFA Nations League league phase, three points clear of Denmark. Their position reflects a strong overall record, including victories over Wales and Norway, despite a recent 1-4 home defeat to Denmark on November 14. With one round remaining, Portugal faces Wales while Denmark hosts Norway; trader consensus reflects the likelihood that Portugal avoids defeat or that Denmark fails to win its final fixture. Denmark could still claim the group with a victory and a Portuguese loss, though such an outcome would require specific results in the final matchday.
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A4 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.