- Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?28¢%28
- Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?14¢%14
- Mark Carney 2026'da TIME Yılın Kişisi olacak mı?14¢%14
- Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?12¢%12
- Lula da Silva 2026'da TIME Yılın Kişisi olacak mı?7¢%7
- Abdul El-Sayed 2026'da TIME Yılın Kişisi olacak mı?6¢%6
- Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?5¢%5
- Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?5¢%5
- Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?4¢%4
- Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?4¢%4
- Yapay Zeka 2026 yılında TIME Yılın Kişisi olacak mı?4¢%4
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?4¢%4
- %1%27,5Zohran Mamdani$56,8 B hacim
- %1%13,5Pope Leo XIV$37,7 B hacim
- %1%13,5Mark Carney$14,3 B hacim
- %1%12,3James Talarico$14,8 B hacim
- %1%7Lula da Silva$250,7 hacim
- %6Abdul El-Sayed$3 B hacim
- %1%5,3Christina Koch$529,7 hacim
- %1%5Dario Amodei$4,2 B hacim
- %4,4Jeremy Hansen$288,2 hacim
- %4,3Victor Glover$232,4 hacim
- %4,3Yapay Zeka$10,8 B hacim
- %4,2Benjamin Netanyahu$8,9 B hacim
Zohran Mamdani holds the strongest position in trader consensus for TIME Person of the Year 2026, with market-implied odds around 27-31% across platforms, driven by his high-profile tenure as New York City mayor and vocal resistance to federal immigration policies. Mark Carney follows at roughly 13-17% after his public pushback on U.S. trade issues as Canadian prime minister, while Pope Leo XIV sits near 14-17% in his first full year. The 2025 AI collective winner makes a repeat unlikely, and historical precedent favors figures shaping major political or cultural narratives. With the December announcement approaching, late-breaking developments in politics or global events could still shift momentum before editors finalize the choice.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.