- Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?44¢%44
Recent Republican midterm losses have intensified scrutiny on White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with former Trump staffer Caroline Sunshine publicly calling for her resignation and blaming governance shortcomings for the results. This follows October reports of internal power struggles and Trump soliciting views on potential replacements such as Stephen Miller or Randy Levine, though the president repeatedly affirmed Wiles' position with statements of complete confidence and long-term continuity. Her extended tenure as his longest-serving chief of staff and prior success managing the 2024 campaign provide counterbalance, while speculation about a voluntary post-midterm departure adds uncertainty. Trader consensus around 54-55% for her remaining through year-end reflects these competing pressures, with further public criticism, Trump administration announcements, or her own statements likely to shift probabilities in either direction before December 31.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.