- Jon Ossoff Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?38¢%38
- Kamala Harris Güney Karolina Demokrat Parti başkanlık ön seçimlerini kazanacak mı?22¢%22
- Raphael Warnock Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimlerini kazanacak mı?16¢%16
- Gavin Newsom Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?8¢%8
- Cory Booker Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?4¢%4
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?4¢%4
- J.B. Pritzker Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimlerini kazanacak mı?4¢%4
- Mark Kelly Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık önseçimini kazanacak mı?2¢%2
- Wes Moore Güney Karolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?2¢%2
- Pete Buttigieg Güney Carolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?2¢%2
- Jon Stewart Güney Karolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimini kazanacak mı?1¢%1
- Andy Beshear, Güney Karolina Demokratik Başkanlık ön seçimlerini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
%4%37,5Jon Ossoff$5,4 B hacim
%3%22Kamala Harris$10,4 B hacim
%3%16Raphael Warnock$6,9 B hacim
%8%8,3Gavin Newsom$5,7 B hacim
%4,3Cory Booker$1,2 B hacim
%4,1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$612,7 hacim
%14%3,7J.B. Pritzker$691,3 hacim
%2%2,5Mark Kelly$947 hacim
%2%2,3Wes Moore$555,4 hacim
%2,2Pete Buttigieg$440,2 hacim
%3%1,1Jon Stewart$1,2 B hacim
%0,6Andy Beshear$420,3 hacim
South Carolina's selection as the first 2028 Democratic presidential primary on January 22 has elevated its role, emphasizing its diverse electorate and Black voters as key factors in early momentum. With no major candidates having declared and a wide-open field more than a year out, trader consensus shows Jon Ossoff at 33.5% ahead of Kamala Harris and Raphael Warnock near 19%, followed by Gavin Newsom at 14.5% and lower shares for others. The recent Democratic Senate victory in the state and ongoing visits by potential contenders have kept probabilities distributed without clear separation. Scheduled events such as candidate announcements, South Carolina-specific polling, and local endorsements could shift positioning ahead of the primary.
Kurallar
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.