- 15 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Rusya-Ukrayna barış görüşmeleri olacak mı?92¢%92
- 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Rusya-Ukrayna barış görüşmeleri?95¢%95
- Rusya-Ukrayna barış görüşmeleri 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar yapılacak mı?96¢%96
- %4%9215 Kasım$6,1 B hacim
- %1%94,630 Kasım$631,3 B hacim
- %96,331 Aralık$545,4 B hacim
Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the late-October local ceasefire in occupied Oleshky, Kherson Oblast, which has held to facilitate humanitarian access, alongside U.S.-brokered commitments for technical-level trilateral talks among Russia, Ukraine, and the United States scheduled in Abu Dhabi around mid-November. U.S. envoys have shuttled between leaders, securing in-principle Russian readiness for renewed discussions focused on security frameworks and de-escalation steps such as prisoner exchanges or energy infrastructure pauses. Persistent obstacles include Russia's insistence on territorial recognition and limits on Ukrainian forces or NATO alignment, contrasted with Ukrainian positions favoring security guarantees and phased ceasefires. Ongoing drone and missile exchanges underscore battlefield dynamics that could influence negotiating leverage ahead of the Abu Dhabi round. Trader consensus reflects these mixed signals of procedural progress against entrenched differences.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.