- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar ateşkes anlaşması yapılacak mı?5¢%5
- Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkes anlaşması 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar yapılır mı?16¢%16
- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 31 Ocak 2027'ye kadar ateşkes anlaşması yapılır mı?24¢%24
- 28 Şubat 2027'ye kadar Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında ateşkes anlaşması yapılır mı?28¢%28
- Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkes anlaşması 31 Mart 2027'ye kadar?36¢%36
- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 30 Nisan 2027'ye kadar ateşkes anlaşması yapılır mı?42¢%42
- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 31 Mayıs 2027'ye kadar ateşkes anlaşması yapılacak mı?51¢%51
- Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkes anlaşması 30 Haziran 2027'ye kadar yapılacak mı?54¢%54
- 31 Temmuz 2027'ye kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkes anlaşması?60¢%60
- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 31 Ağustos 2027'ye kadar ateşkes anlaşması yapılacak mı?63¢%63
- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 30 Eylül 2027'ye kadar ateşkes anlaşması yapılacak mı?64¢%64
- Rusya ile Ukrayna arasında 31 Ekim 2027'ye kadar ateşkes anlaşması olur mu?64¢%64
- %4,530 Kasım$182,4 B hacim
- %3%15,531 Aralık$3,3 Mn hacim
- %2%23,531 Ocak 2027$196,4 B hacim
- %2%28,528 Şubat 2027$43,5 B hacim
- %1%35,531 Mart 2027$358,8 B hacim
- %1%41,530 Nisan 2027$82,6 B hacim
- %1%50,531 Mayıs 2027$132,1 B hacim
- %1%53,530 Haziran 2027$184,4 B hacim
- %1%59,531 Temmuz 2027$6,3 B hacim
- %62,531 Ağustos 2027$14,8 B hacim
- %63,530 Eylül 2027$5,9 B hacim
- %6431 Ekim 2027$73 B hacim
Recent US diplomatic efforts have revived trilateral technical talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States, scheduled for November 10-11 in Abu Dhabi to address post-war security arrangements, de-escalation, and humanitarian steps. A localized ceasefire in the Oleshky area of Kherson region, brokered with US first lady involvement, took effect October 27 and ran through November 1, enabling limited aid deliveries and evacuations before ending without extension. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has signaled openness to freezing lines with security guarantees, while Russia continues to prioritize comprehensive terms including full control of Donetsk and exclusion of NATO membership for Ukraine. Ongoing battlefield activity and prior stalled negotiations underscore persistent gaps, though the Abu Dhabi meetings and potential later leader-level discussions represent near-term catalysts for any broader ceasefire progress.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.