- OpenAI’nin piyasa değeri, 31 Aralık 2027’ye kadar gerçekleşecek halka arz gününün piyasa kapanışında 500 milyar doların altında mı olacak?2¢%2
- OpenAI’nin piyasa değeri, 31 Aralık 2027’ye kadar olan halka arz gününde piyasa kapanışında 500 milyar ile 750 milyar dolar arasında olacak mı?1¢%1
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz gününün piyasa kapanışında 750 milyar dolar ile 1 trilyon dolar arasında olacak mı?4¢%4
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar IPO gününün piyasa kapanışında 1 trilyon dolar ile 1,25 trilyon dolar arasında olacak mı?11¢%11
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar gerçekleşecek halka arz günü piyasa kapanışında 1,25 trilyon ile 1,5 trilyon dolar arasında olacak mı?14¢%14
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar gerçekleştirilecek halka arz gününün kapanışında 1,5 trilyon dolar veya daha fazla olacak mı?34¢%34
- OpenAI 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz olmayacak mı?30¢%30
- %2,1<500B$46,1 B hacim
- %1,5500–750B$33,5 B hacim
- %3,8750B–1T$134,5 B hacim
- %11,21T–1,25T$104,3 B hacim
- %141,25T–1,5T$88,7 B hacim
- %3%34,21,5T+$173 B hacim
- %2%30,431 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz yok$114,3 B hacim
Recent private funding negotiations, with OpenAI trimming targets to roughly $20 billion at a $1.25 trillion valuation amid investor pushback and AI-sector volatility, anchor trader sentiment on the IPO closing market cap. Strong revenue momentum, including an annualized run rate near $50 billion in September with enterprise sales now exceeding half of total revenue and projections toward $70 billion by year-end, supports the leading 33.7% implied probability for a $1.5 trillion-plus outcome. However, the closely matched 29.3% odds on no IPO by December 2027 reflect ongoing uncertainty around timing, with executives signaling readiness for 2027 but citing safety priorities and market conditions, alongside competition from Anthropic's expected listing and broader concerns over AI investment returns versus spending.
Kurallar
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.