- Bir sonraki GPT Sol (6.2+) 15 Kasım 2026'ya kadar piyasaya sürülür mü?71¢%71
- Bir sonraki GPT Sol (6.2+) 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar piyasaya sürülecek mi?86¢%86
- Bir sonraki GPT Sol (6.2+) 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar çıkar mı?97¢%97
- %8%70,515 Kasım$4,9 B hacim
- %4%8630 Kasım$9,9 B hacim
- %4%9731 Aralık$2,3 B hacim
OpenAI’s rapid release cadence within the GPT-6 family drives current market-implied odds favoring a GPT Sol 6.2+ launch by late 2026. After shipping GPT-6 Astra in early September, Sol and Luna variants later that month, GPT-6.1 Sol in late September, and GPT-6.1 Terra in late October, the company introduced GPT-6 Cyber on November 5 with stronger vulnerability detection and alignment safeguards. Leaks showing gpt-6.2-astra identifiers in Codex usage, combined with reporting on potential new Astra, Sol, and cyber models as soon as November 6, have reinforced trader consensus around near-term iteration. Competitive pressure from other large language model developers and OpenAI’s history of balancing capability gains with safety reviews remain key swing factors for exact timing.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-6 Sol or GPT-6.1 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Sol (released September 29, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.