- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 7 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?<1¢<%1
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 8 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?3¢%3
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 9 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?11¢%11
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 10 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?27¢%27
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 11 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?25¢%25
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 12 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?26¢%26
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 13 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?15¢%15
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 14 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?4¢%4
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 15 Kasım 2026'da çıkacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 16 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?3¢%3
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 17 Kasım 2026'da piyasaya sürülecek mi?3¢%3
- Bir sonraki Fable modeli (5.2+) 18 Kasım 2026'da çıkacak mı?29¢%29
- %0,77 Kasım$617,6 hacim
- %2,68 Kasım$683,6 hacim
- %8%11,29 Kasım$1,1 B hacim
- %4%27,110 Kasım$1 B hacim
- %14%25,511 Kasım$451,8 hacim
- %20%25,712 Kasım$430,4 hacim
- %1%14,813 Kasım$334,6 hacim
- %4,214 Kasım$384,2 hacim
- %0,615 Kasım$197,2 hacim
- %2,716 Kasım$303,9 hacim
- %3,317 Kasım$319,6 hacim
- %5%2918 Kasım$363,2 hacim
Anthropic’s release cadence for the Claude Fable line, with point updates such as 5.1 following the July 2026 debut of Fable 5 within roughly twelve weeks, underpins the tight spread in Polymarket odds for a 5.2+ launch. The absence of any official announcement, model card, or credible leak as of early November 2026 leaves traders relying on historical patterns and competitive pressure from other frontier labs, producing closely matched probabilities across November 10–18. This uncertainty is amplified by the lack of demonstrated capabilities or internal signals that typically precede Anthropic deployments, while the 16.5% chance of no release by November 30 reflects the possibility of further delays common in large-language-model timelines.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.