Boise State’s undefeated 6-0 Pac-12 record and 9-1 overall mark, including a recent 46-41 home victory over Oregon State that clinched championship-game hosting rights, drive the 74% implied probability as the frontrunner. The Broncos’ high-powered offense and consistent conference results have created separation from the field, reflecting trader consensus on their path to the title. Texas State sits second at 4-2 in league play with a 6-4 mark, bolstered by a strong offense, yet trails significantly at 20%. Remaining teams including San Diego State, Utah State, Oregon State, and Fresno State occupy 1-3% ranges due to inferior conference records and tougher remaining schedules. The market pricing aligns with current standings and late-season momentum entering the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pac-12 Football Championship Game, determining the champion of the Pac-12 Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Pac-12 Conference (https://pac-12.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.