Ljubljana Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı
SiyasetSeçimlerKüresel SeçimlerDünya SeçimleriBelediye Başkanlığı SeçimleriSlovenyaAna Seçim
Başlangıç tarihi
2026-10-08
Bitiş tarihi
2026-11-16
24 sa hacim
$7K
Toplam hacim
$242K
  • Zoran Janković 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?63¢%63
  • Luka Mesec 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimlerini kazanacak mı?34¢%34
  • Anton Rop 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Klemen Boštjančič 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimlerini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Aleš Primc 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimlerini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Aleksandar Repić 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Aleš Vrhovec 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Gregor Novak 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Jasmin Feratović 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Mihael Jarc 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Apolonija Simon 2026 Ljubljana belediye başkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1

Incumbent Zoran Janković holds the highest implied probability among traders due to his long record as mayor since 2006, ongoing municipal projects under the Vision 2045 framework, and consistent polling lead near 35 percent ahead of the November 15 first round. A field of 15 candidates fragments opposition support, with Luka Mesec positioned as the clearest challenger from the left at roughly 21 percent in recent surveys, potentially advancing to a November 29 runoff where margins narrow. Lower-priced contenders including Anton Rop, Aleš Primc, Klemen Boštjančič, and Aleš Vrhovec reflect limited polling traction and narrower party bases, while the overall market consensus aligns with historical patterns of strong incumbent retention in Slovenian local contests despite the possibility of a second round.

Kurallar

The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).

Ljubljana Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı

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