- IAEA, 31 Aralık'a kadar İsfahan, Fordow veya Natanz nükleer tesisini ziyaret edecek mi?17¢%17
Recent diplomatic signals between the United States and Iran have raised prospects for IAEA inspector access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated on November 5 that inspections will occur soon following an interim accord, with work underway on modalities, dates, and procedures, though Iranian officials tied full access to attacked facilities to a final agreement and sanctions relief. Grossi’s October 27 UN Security Council remarks noted no satellite evidence of repairs at the sites damaged in 2025 and 2026 strikes, persistent inability to verify Iran’s 440 kg stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent—much of it likely stored at Isfahan—and continued restrictions on physical verification beyond Bushehr. Ongoing mediation by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and Egypt shapes the timeline for any visits, directly influencing trader consensus on near-term resolution probabilities.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.