- Cheng Chao-fang bir sonraki Hsinchu İlçesi Kaymakamlığı seçimlerini kazanacak mı?62¢%62
- Hsu Hsin-ying bir sonraki Hsinchu İlçe Valisi seçimlerini kazanacak mı?38¢%38
- Lin Szu-ming bir sonraki Hsinchu İlçesi Valiliği seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Chen Chien-hsien bir sonraki Hsinchu İlçesi Valiliği seçimlerini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
%13%62Cheng Chao-fang$20,7 B hacim
%12%37,5Hsu Hsin-ying$20,5 B hacim
Cheng Chao-fang holds the leading position in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee. Recent polling trends and campaign dynamics have reinforced trader consensus around his edge, with the market pricing Cheng at 71.5% versus Hsu Hsin-ying at 27%. The KMT nominee secured her party’s nomination in March after a contentious primary against Chen Chien-hsien, while Cheng received the DPP nod in June. The November 28 election features three registered candidates following the late-October ballot draw, where Cheng drew position one. Mixed late-October surveys show varying leads of roughly 6–15 points, highlighting the race’s sensitivity to turnout among KMT supporters, independent voters, and key municipalities such as Zhubei. Other listed outcomes remain at negligible probabilities.
Kurallar
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).