- Tesla, 2026'nın 4. çeyreğinde 400.000'den az araç teslim edecek mi?3¢%3
- Tesla, 2026 yılının 4. çeyreğinde 400.000 ile 425.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?15¢%15
- Tesla, 2026'nın dördüncü çeyreğinde 425.000 ile 450.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?29¢%29
- Tesla, 2026 4. çeyrekte 450.000 ile 475.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?24¢%24
- Tesla, 2026'nın 4. çeyreğinde 475.000 ile 500.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?18¢%18
- Tesla, 2026 4. çeyrekte 500.000 ile 525.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?16¢%16
- Tesla, 2026 4. çeyrekte 525.000 ile 550.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?3¢%3
- Tesla, 2026'nın 4. çeyreğinde 550.000 ile 575.000 arasında araç teslim edecek mi?6¢%6
- Tesla, 2026 4. çeyreğinde 575.000 veya daha fazla araç teslim edecek mi?5¢%5
- %2,7<400k$1,1 B hacim
- %11%14,8400 bin ile 425 bin arası$1,2 B hacim
- %18%29,3425 bin - 450 bin$2 B hacim
- %10%24450 bin ila 475 bin$2,7 B hacim
- %5%18475 bin ile 500 bin arası$4,8 B hacim
- %1%15,5500k ile 525k arası$2 B hacim
- %2,7525k ile 550k arası$4,6 B hacim
- %1%6,4550k ile 575k arası$690,9 hacim
- %1%5575 bin+$1,1 B hacim
Tesla’s Q4 2026 delivery outlook centers on a modest sequential dip from the 486,532 vehicles delivered in Q3, with sell-side consensus clustering near 462,000–475,000. Recent October wholesale data from China showed a sharp month-over-month drop despite year-over-year gains, while European registrations posted strong rebounds that offset some U.S. softness following the prior-year tax-credit pull-forward. Battery-pack supply remains the primary production constraint, limiting any rapid ramp in Model 3/Y output that accounts for nearly all volume. Cybertruck contributions stay negligible ahead of the planned mid-2027 wind-down. Weekly registration trends and any pre-year-end production updates represent the key near-term signals that could shift trader positioning around the closely bunched 425k–500k bands.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.