- Gavin Newsom 30 Kasım'da Demokrat adaylık ihtimali lideri mi?4¢%4
- Jon Ossoff 30 Kasım'da Demokrat adaylık oranları lideri olur mu?92¢%92
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 30 Kasım'da Demokrat adaylık oranlarında lider olacak mı?4¢%4
- Kamala Harris 30 Kasım'da Demokrat adaylık oranlarında lider mi olacak?<1¢<%1
- Pete Buttigieg 30 Kasım'da Demokrat adaylık oranları lideri olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Josh Shapiro, 30 Kasım'da Demokrat adaylık oranları lideri olacak mı?<1¢<%1
%2%3,6Gavin Newsom$3,7 B hacim
%3%91,5Jon Ossoff$9,9 B hacim
%3,8Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$2 B hacim
%0,5Kamala Harris$2,5 B hacim
%0,2Pete Buttigieg$2 B hacim
%0,4Josh Shapiro$2,6 B hacim
Jon Ossoff’s commanding position in trader consensus for Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30 stems from his decisive Georgia Senate reelection victory and the broader Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms that delivered House and Senate majorities. Prediction markets rapidly elevated the senator after these results, reflecting his strengthened profile as a battleground-state winner with national appeal ahead of the 2028 cycle. Traders view this momentum as likely to persist through the month absent major shifts. Potential challengers such as Gavin Newsom or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez could narrow the gap through strong polling gains or high-profile events, while late developments including candidate statements on intentions or unexpected primary dynamics remain the main variables that could alter the current implied probability.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the option with the highest hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. If that option is not a listed outcome of this market, this market will resolve to "Other". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered. If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.