- Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.60 in August?<1¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?<1¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.80–$1.90 in August?<1¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?3¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.10 in August?6¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?37¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?23¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?27¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40–$2.50 in August?6¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.60 in August?<1¢
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Recent egg supply expansion following 2025 avian flu flock recoveries has driven sharp retail price declines, with BLS data showing the U.S. average at $2.189 per dozen in July 2026 after $2.14 in June and far below 2025 peaks above $6. Wholesale prices have collapsed to around $0.36–$0.46 amid oversupply and softer demand, pressuring margins for producers. Trader consensus reflected in the $2.10–$2.40 range (over 85% implied probability) aligns with these trends and stable input costs, though any renewed HPAI outbreaks or feed price spikes could shift outcomes higher before August resolution.