- Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?68¢
- Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?64¢
- Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?54¢
- Will "When I'm Home" from The Odyssey be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?50¢
- Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?31¢
- Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?28¢
- Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?27¢
- Will "Too Much to Ask" from Ray Gunn be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?26¢
- Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?24¢
- Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?21¢
- Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?16¢
La Bola Negra’s “La Nieve” has emerged as the clear early frontrunner for a 2027 Best Original Song nomination, posting 96%+ expert consensus in initial Gold Derby and Variety trackers. The Spanish-language track benefits from strong festival buzz around its Netflix film, which is also generating awards heat in Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay conversations. Close behind sit “This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out)” from A24’s The Debut and Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Pixar’s Toy Story 5, both riding high-profile releases and star power. Other tracks from By Any Means, Behemoth!, and Musk are tracking as longshots. With nominations voting opening in January 2027, the next key catalysts are additional fall festival premieres, Critics Choice and Golden Globe shortlists, and guild visibility that typically shape the final five. Song races remain fluid until eligibility closes at year-end.
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The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Song. If a song is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.