- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 8?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 8?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 8?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 8?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 8?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions for Shenzhen on September 8, supporting afternoon highs near 33–34°C under moderate northeast winds and high humidity. This aligns with the market’s tight split between those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in peak solar insolation amid variable cloud cover and any residual moisture from recent showers. September climatology shows typical maxima around 31°C, but clearer skies and urban heat effects can add 2–3°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the highest recorded temperature at designated stations, with model runs continuing to refine timing of any afternoon heating or brief convective activity.