- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?100¢100%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 4?0¢0%
Official forecasts from European meteorological models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 28°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, under variable skies that cleared enough in the afternoon for temperatures to peak near that level after a cooler, cloudier start around 16–22°C. Light westerly winds and low precipitation probability supported gradual warming without exceeding the threshold, consistent with early September climatology for the region. The market’s near-certain pricing on 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and real-time station observations aligning closely with the predicted high. A modest revision in final official data from reference stations or unexpected late-day cloud cover could still shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.