- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 65°F or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 4?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 4?62¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 4?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 4?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a Friday high in Los Angeles near 75–82 °F, shaped by a persistent marine layer producing morning patchy fog followed by gradual clearing under southwest winds of 5–15 mph. These conditions align closely with the long-term September 4 average high of 76.7 °F at Los Angeles International Airport, with limited warming expected absent stronger offshore flow or upper-level ridging. Recent observations show daily maxima of 76–77 °F early in the month, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 76–77 °F bin as the most probable outcome while leaving modest room for 78–79 °F if clearing occurs earlier than modeled.