- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 7?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 7?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 7?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 7?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 7?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on September 7?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 108°F or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus project a high near 101°F for Dallas on September 7 under sunny skies with light southerly winds, driving the 57% market-implied probability for the 100-101°F bin. Persistent heat across recent days, with highs at or above 100°F, reflects strong upper-level ridging and above-normal temperatures for early September, when the long-term average high sits near 92°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak, combined with potential for slight afternoon mixing or boundary influences, supports the secondary probabilities clustered around 98-99°F and 102-103°F. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations on September 7 will refine resolution.