- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?20¢20 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?40¢40 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?12¢12 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?16¢16 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?12¢12 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?7¢7 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 80,000 and 85,000?4¢4 %
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?4¢4 %
- 20,1 %<55,000Volym 1,3 tn $
- 4 %39,5 %55,000-60,000Volym 512,1 $
- 12,1 %60,000-65,000Volym 778,7 $
- 2 %16,1 %65,000-70,000Volym 637,3 $
- 8 %12 %70,000-75,000Volym 20,4 tn $
- 6,8 %75,000-80,000Volym 10,6 tn $
- 3,6 %80,000-85,000Volym 633,6 $
- 4 %85,000+Volym 677,2 $
Recent sharp declines in the Nikkei 225, driven by a global AI and semiconductor sell-off following the U.S. midterm elections, have positioned the index near 57,435 as of November 6, 2026—down roughly 20% from its June peak and placing the 55,000-60,000 range as the dominant market-implied outcome. Traders appear to price in continued volatility from Democratic-led regulatory concerns over data centers, elevated energy prices, and the Bank of Japan’s hawkish tilt toward a potential December rate hike to 1.50%. Corporate earnings growth remains solid across many constituents, yet valuation compression in tech-heavy names and the proximity to year-end limit the scope for rapid recovery. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores uncertainty around monetary normalization and external demand, with limited catalysts expected before resolution.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”