- Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?4¢4 %
- Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?76¢76 %
- Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?18¢18 %
- Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?4¢4 %
- Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?<1¢<1 %
- 3,6 %<12Volym 43,4 tn $
- 6 %75,7 %12-15Volym 72,2 tn $
- 17,7 %16-19Volym 52,1 tn $
- 4,4 %20-23Volym 25,4 tn $
- 1,6 %24-27Volym 20 tn $
- 0,5 %28-31Volym 10,5 tn $
- 0,4 %32+Volym 9,1 tn $
Waymo currently operates public, fully driverless robotaxi service in 15 U.S. metros, a count reached through multiple 2026 launches including Las Vegas, Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and San Antonio. Recent activity centers on area expansions within those markets—such as the late-October addition of nearly 250 square miles across Los Angeles, Nashville, Orlando, San Diego, and the Bay Area—rather than new city entries. Fleet growth plans target 8,000 vehicles by year-end, supporting denser coverage and higher ride volumes but not accelerating regulatory or mapping timelines for fresh metros. With roughly seven weeks remaining, the 12-15 outcome dominates because new launches typically require months of testing and approvals, while historical patterns show incremental rather than rapid city additions.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.