ATP Tour
C. Ruud
C. Alcaraz- Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz20¢20 %
- Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)57¢57 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz52¢52 %
- Ruud vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.551¢51 %
- Ruud vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.542¢42 %
- Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-4.5) vs Casper Ruud (+4.5)42¢42 %
- Ruud vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.539¢39 %
- Casper Ruud vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.534¢34 %
- Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz27¢27 %
- Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz25¢25 %
Carlos Alcaraz enters the Rolex Paris Masters semifinal as the clear favorite against Casper Ruud on indoor hard courts, backed by a 6-1 head-to-head edge that includes straight-set wins in their most recent meetings at Indian Wells and the 2024 ATP Finals. The No. 2 seed has compiled a 40-5 record in 2026 and remained unbeaten indoors, though he needed to save two match points before rallying past Taylor Fritz 6-7(10), 7-5, 6-3 in the quarterfinals. Ruud, ranked No. 23, reached his first semifinal since May without dropping a set, defeating Nuno Borges in the quarters after earlier wins over Jan-Lennard Struff and Rafael Jodar, but he has managed a lingering knee issue and holds just a 7-23 career mark against top-five opponents. Alcaraz’s superior serve, return metrics, and clutch performance have shaped trader consensus around his strong implied probability.
Regler
This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.