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Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Don’t Say Good Luck dominates trader sentiment after its August 14 Netflix premiere, riding strong critical acclaim—including a 93% Rotten Tomatoes score—and family-drama appeal tied to Sunny Sandler’s lead role and Happy Madison production ties. The coming-of-age musical dramedy generated immediate streaming momentum in its first full tracking week, outpacing competitors such as The Last House through favorable reviews, social buzz, and platform promotion. Market-implied odds near 99.6% reflect this early dominance in U.S. viewing data. An upset would require another title to post unexpectedly sharp gains via viral moments or late-week surges before the chart period closes.