- Выполнит ли SpaceX Starship тестовый запуск полета 14 до 30 сентября?100¢100 %
- Взорвется ли сверхтяжелая ракета-носитель Super Heavy во время 14-го испытательного полета Starship?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли Starship успешной посадки на воду во время тестового полета SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?100¢100 %
- Произойдет ли испытательный запуск Starship Flight Test 14 компании SpaceX до 31 октября?100¢100 %
- Состоится ли запуск SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 до 28 сентября?100¢100 %
- Запустит ли SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 до 29 сентября?100¢100 %
- Поймают ли палочки Starship во время 14-го испытательного полёта SpaceX Starship?0¢0 %
- Запустится ли испытательный полёт Starship Flight Test 14 от SpaceX до 31 августа?0¢0 %
- Произойдет ли тестовый запуск Starship Flight Test 14 от SpaceX до 15 сентября?0¢0 %
- Поймают ли палочки бустер Superheavy во время 14-го испытательного полета Starship от SpaceX?0¢0 %
- Запустят ли испытательный полёт Starship Flight Test 14 от SpaceX до 19 сентября?0¢0 %
- Запустится ли испытательный полёт 14 Starship от SpaceX до 26 сентября?0¢0 %
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
SpaceX achieved a major milestone with Starship Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, when the vehicle completed its first orbital insertion after liftoff from Starbase, Texas, following FAA licensing the prior day. The upper stage deployed 26 operational Starlink V3 satellites—marking the first revenue-generating payload—then executed a deorbit burn and controlled splashdown in the Pacific despite an ascent engine issue that prompted an abbreviated mission. The Super Heavy booster also landed successfully in the Gulf of Mexico. Traders are pricing high probabilities for near-term launch and splashdown resolutions based on this demonstrated orbital capability, heat shield performance data, and progress toward reusable operations, with attention now shifting to Flight 15 timelines and potential booster catch attempts.
Правила
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.