- Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026?5¢
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of September 2026?13¢
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?55¢
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?17¢
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?9¢
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?14¢
- Will Meta’s market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026?14¢
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Meta Platforms currently trades near $1.4 trillion in market cap, aligning with the market's 54.5% implied probability for the $1.25–1.50T band at end-September 2026. Strong Q2 2026 ad revenue growth of 28% year-over-year supports stability, yet heavy AI infrastructure spending, narrowed 2026 capex guidance of $130–145 billion, and a $2.4 billion legal charge contributed to an EPS miss and pressure on free cash flow. An ongoing high-stakes child safety trial adds near-term uncertainty and volatility. With next earnings scheduled after September, traders see limited catalysts for a decisive move outside the leading range in the next month.