- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций 5,50% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций 5,39% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций 5,45% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций уровня 5,60% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций 5,55% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций уровня 5,42% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций уровня 5,33% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций уровня 5,30% в сентябре?100¢100 %
- Достигнет ли доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций 5,36% в сентябре?100¢100 %
Recent bond market volatility has driven the 30-year Treasury yield to multi-year highs near 5.6% in September 2026, its highest levels since 2004, amid persistent inflation concerns and robust economic growth. Heavy Treasury issuance to fund deficits, combined with strong corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure, has pressured long-end yields higher, outpacing shorter maturities in a bear steepening move. Traders are pricing in fewer near-term Fed rate cuts, with market-implied odds reflecting expectations for policy rates to stay elevated longer. Key upcoming data releases, including October employment and inflation figures, along with the next FOMC meeting, could further influence the month’s peak level and resolution thresholds.
Правила
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).