- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)65¢
- US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz18¢
- US Open ATP: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz50¢
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 36.549¢
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 40.550¢
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 4 Games O/U 9.550¢
- Set 2 Winner: Paul vs Alcaraz50¢
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.550¢
- Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 3.557¢
- Set 3 Winner: Paul vs Alcaraz50¢
- Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Alcaraz32¢
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.542¢
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz enters the US Open fourth round as defending champion and heavy favorite against No. 20 seed Tommy Paul, buoyed by his strong recent form after a four-month right wrist injury layoff. The Spaniard has won 30 of his past 31 major matches and advanced with straight-sets victories over Wu Yibing and others, showing sharp play on hard courts. Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6-2 overall and has won their last five encounters, including a three-set win at the 2026 Australian Open. Paul, seeking his first US Open quarterfinal, reached the round of 16 with a five-set comeback over Alexander Bublik and benefits from home support on Arthur Ashe Stadium, but faces a steep challenge against the higher-ranked, in-form opponent.