- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?14¢14 %
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?27¢27 %
- 2 %5,9 %December 31, 2026Vol. 1,2 mil. $
- 5 %13,5 %June 30, 2027Vol. 111,2 $
- 27 %December 31, 2027Vol. 1,5 K $
Multiple postponements since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader sentiment on the Doge-1 lunar CubeSat mission, with the rideshare payload now aligned to Intuitive Machines' IM-3 flight targeted for early 2027 rather than any remaining 2026 window. SpaceX manifest priorities favor higher-profile cargo and crewed flights, leaving the Dogecoin-funded satellite with limited confirmed slots and no recent official T-0 date. Historical patterns of repeated slips underscore the uncertainty, while any formal manifest update or launch pad assignment could quickly shift implied probabilities. Traders are watching Q1 2027 NASA CLPS reviews and SpaceX scheduling for clearer signals on whether the mission clears its next hurdle before year-end deadlines.
Reguli
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.