- Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?67¢67 %
- Will "NAZA" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?23¢23 %
- Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4 %
- Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4 %
- Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2 %
- Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2 %
- Will Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2 %
- Will Tutu win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1 %
- Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1 %
- 5 %66,5 %You Can See EverythingVol. 13,8 K $
- 22,5 %NAZAVol. 5,1 K $
- 3,7 %American DoctorVol. 12,3 K $
- 3,7 %Nuisance BearVol. 9,2 K $
- 2,1 %One in a MillionVol. 5,2 K $
- 1,9 %Once Upon a Time in HarlemVol. 4,9 K $
- 1,6 %Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a PartyVol. 197,5 $
- 1,3 %TutuVol. 850 $
- 1,2 %MuskVol. 171,5 $
You Can See Everything leads the market at 65.5% implied probability thanks to its record-breaking October theatrical debut, 99 Metacritic score, and 98% Rotten Tomatoes rating, which have fueled unprecedented awards momentum for a documentary. Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim’s A24 release, following Elizabeth Holmes in the weeks before her prison term, has drawn massive audiences, Academy screenings, and cross-category eligibility chatter, including Best Picture speculation. Traders see it as the clear frontrunner despite the documentary branch’s historical preference for traditional fly-on-the-wall approaches. NAZA sits at 22.5% on the strength of its Venice Special Jury Prize, strong limited release, and topical prestige from the No Other Land directors, while lower-priced titles like American Doctor and Nuisance Bear reflect more conventional campaigns without comparable visibility or critical heat. The shortlist announcement in December remains the key near-term catalyst.
Reguli
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.