- Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?48¢48 %
- Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?20¢20 %
- Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?16¢16 %
- Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?8¢8 %
- Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢5 %
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?3¢3 %
- Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2 %
- Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1 %
- Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1 %
- Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
47,6 %John MalkovichVol. 26,9 K $
1 %20 %Andrew ScottVol. 28 K $
1 %16 %Matt DamonVol. 49,1 K $
1 %7,5 %Tom CruiseVol. 33,1 K $
2 %5,1 %Anthony IppolitoVol. 11,2 K $
2,7 %Timothée ChalametVol. 14,7 K $
2,1 %Robert PattinsonVol. 13,8 K $
1,4 %John TurturroVol. 10,9 K $
1,2 %Ryan GoslingVol. 11,9 K $
0,8 %Jaafar JacksonVol. 9,6 K $
0,3 %Jeremy StrongVol. 11,4 K $
0,3 %Brad PittVol. 14,8 K $
With the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market showing a fragmented field where multiple contenders sit near 50% implied probability and no single actor exceeds that level, traders reflect the absence of established frontrunners this early in the cycle. Recent 2026 releases have yet to generate sustained guild or critics' momentum, leaving historical patterns of late-breaking campaigns and precursor results as the main swing factors ahead of nominations. Differentiating elements include established stars like Matt Damon and Andrew Scott drawing on prior awards visibility, while emerging names face longer odds tied to limited box office or review data. Upcoming year-end releases and early 2027 guild announcements will likely sharpen the race.
Reguli
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.