- Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?5¢5 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO?15¢15 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?45¢45 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?16¢16 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?15¢15 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?1¢1 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO?<1¢<1 %
- Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO?<1¢<1 %
- Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?<1¢<1 %
- 3 %5 %<$65BVol. 6,5 K $
- 11 %15,1 %$65B to $75BVol. 4,2 K $
- 11 %45 %$75B to $85BVol. 22,7 K $
- 10 %15,8 %$85B to $95BVol. 44,7 K $
- 12 %15,2 %$95B to $105BVol. 30,2 K $
- 1 %1,5 %$105B to $115BVol. 30,2 K $
- 1 %0,8 %$115B to $125BVol. 12,3 K $
- 0,3 %$125B to $135BVol. 2,1 K $
- 0,3 %$135B+Vol. 6,8 K $
Anthropic’s late-October S-1 filing for a Nasdaq listing under ticker ANT, combined with Wall Street reports targeting a $1.5–2 trillion valuation and a raise of $100 billion or more, has anchored trader sentiment around the $75–85 billion outcome. Explosive revenue growth—reaching $17 billion in Q3 2026 after $16.3 billion in the first half—demonstrates strong demand for the Claude large language model, yet this is offset by $500 billion-plus in mostly noncancelable compute commitments, paper losses exceeding $80 billion in the first half, and a challenging macro backdrop of elevated interest rates. The leading bucket reflects SpaceX’s $75 billion June precedent and tempered expectations that public-market scrutiny could compress the final raise below the highest reported targets, while the mid-November listing window remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities if pricing details emerge.
Reguli
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.