- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?75¢75 %
- Will Amy Hunt win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?22¢22 %
- Will Matt Weston win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?2¢2 %
- Will Josh Kerr win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?2¢2 %
- Will Saffie Osborne win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?1¢1 %
- Will Luke Littler win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?<1¢<1 %
1 %74,5 %Harry KaneVol. 18,6 K $
9 %22,1 %Amy HuntVol. 19,6 K $
2,3 %Matt WestonVol. 964,6 $
2 %1,7 %Josh KerrVol. 1,4 K $
1 %1,4 %Saffie OsborneVol. 681,7 $
2 %0,3 %Luke LittlerVol. 583,6 $
Harry Kane’s historic Ballon d’Or victory on October 26—the first for an Englishman since 2001—has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward him at 74.5% implied probability for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2026. The Bayern Munich striker’s prolific 2025/26 campaign, featuring record goals for club and country, combined with the award’s prestige and timing just weeks before the December 18 ceremony, has elevated his profile above strong domestic challengers. Amy Hunt sits at 22.1% after claiming four golds at the European Championships, while Josh Kerr (1.7%), Matt Weston (2.3%), and Luke Littler (0.3%) reflect solid but narrower campaigns in athletics, skeleton, and darts. Public voting and any late-season momentum shifts remain the key variables ahead of the ceremony.
Reguli
This market will resolve to the athlete who wins the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the winner whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.