- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Michigan será inferior a 4.200.000?3¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para senador de Michigan estará entre 4.200.000 e 4.400.000?7¢
- O total de votos depositados na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador em Michigan ficará entre 4.400.000 e 4.600.000?24¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Michigan ficará entre 4.600.000 e 4.800.000?30¢
- O total de votos registrados nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026 para o Senado em Michigan estará entre 4.800.000 e 5.000.000?28¢
- O total de votos na eleição intermediária de 2026 para Senador de Michigan será entre 5.000.000 e 5.200.000?6¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para senador de Michigan ficará entre 5.200.000 e 5.400.000?3¢
- O total de votos depositados na eleição intermediária de 2026 para Senador de Michigan ficará entre 5.400.000 e 5.600.000?2¢
- O total de votos na eleição intermediária de 2026 para Senador de Michigan será de 5.600.000 ou mais?8¢
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Democratic primary turnout reached a midterm record of over 1.5 million votes in August 2026, signaling strong partisan energy on the left ahead of the November 3 general election between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers. This enthusiasm, combined with a closely contested Senate race and favorable generic ballot trends for Democrats, supports expectations of solid but not presidential-level participation. Michigan cast a record 5.7 million ballots in the 2024 presidential election; midterm turnout historically falls 15-25% below that benchmark due to lower visibility and the absence of a national headliner. Republican primary participation lagged, reflecting softer motivation amid national dynamics, while early voting infrastructure and registration levels remain stable. These elements position the 4.6M-4.8M range as the trader consensus, with adjacent bins reflecting uncertainty over whether heightened Democratic mobilization or typical midterm drop-off will dominate overall participation.