- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 2?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 2?95¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain and cloud cover from a moist northeast monsoon flow are anchoring Shanghai's overnight minimum near 25°C on September 2. Multiple meteorological models and local forecasts consistently project a low of 25°C, driven by high humidity (often above 85–90%), steady light-to-moderate winds, and widespread precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Current observations through the afternoon and evening show temperatures holding in the mid- to upper-20s amid ongoing showers, aligning with this consensus. Trader positioning at 94.5% for 25°C reflects this strong agreement across official guidance, though modest downward revisions remain possible if skies clear more than expected overnight or if steering currents allow brief drier slots. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by Shanghai meteorological stations.