Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 99.5% reflects the entrenched scientific framework and cultural dismissal of flat Earth ideas as fringe conspiracy theories in mainstream media and education. Overwhelming evidence from space agencies, global navigation systems, and astronomical observations has solidified the spherical model, with no credible recent developments challenging this consensus. Historical patterns show such claims persist in niche online communities but fail to gain traction in broader public discourse or industry narratives. Realistic upset scenarios would require extraordinary, unverified revelations contradicting established geophysical data, though entertainment portrayals often highlight the persistence of fringe beliefs for dramatic effect.
Este mercado será resolvido como "Sim" se provas conclusivas de que a Terra é plana se tornarem públicas até 31 de dezembro de 2026, 23:59 ET. Caso contrário, este mercado será resolvido como "Não". A resolução deste mercado será baseada em um consenso de reportagens confiáveis.
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