- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 18°C ou menos em 5 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 19°C em 5 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 20°C no dia 5 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 21°C em 5 de setembro?2¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 22°C em 5 de setembro?6¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 23°C em 5 de setembro?21¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 24°C no dia 5 de setembro?45¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 25°C em 5 de setembro?22¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 26°C em 5 de setembro?5¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 27°C em 5 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Munique será de 28°C ou mais em 5 de setembro?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and ICON, indicate a daily high near 23–24°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a shift to westerly flow and morning rain that will limit solar heating after the prior day's peak near 30°C. Cloud cover, elevated humidity, and precipitation probabilities above 70% in the morning hours are expected to cap afternoon temperatures, aligning with climatological norms around 21°C but tempered by the transient system. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 24°C, with secondary support for 23°C and 25°C, consistent with typical model spread and uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Updated model runs and official briefings from agencies like DWD will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.