- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 24°C ou menos em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 25°C no dia 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 26°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 27°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 28°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 29°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 30°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 31°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 32°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 33°C em 6 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Lucknow será de 34°C ou mais em 6 de setembro?>99¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on 34°C or higher for Lucknow's September 6 maximum rests on current observational data and short-range model guidance showing peak temperatures well above the threshold. Late-monsoon conditions with high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover have supported daytime heating, consistent with climatological September averages near 33°C and recent station readings around 30–33°C. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble guidance reinforce this positioning, with minimal downside risk from typical afternoon convection. The 100% market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these factors, backed by real capital. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow maximum; an unusually strong, prolonged rain event could introduce modest cooling, though current steering patterns and model consensus make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak is recorded.