- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 15°C ou menos em 8 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 16°C em 8 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 17°C em 8 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 18°C em 8 de setembro?4¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 19°C em 8 de setembro?35¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 20°C em 8 de setembro?56¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 21°C em 8 de setembro?8¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 22°C em 8 de setembro?1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 23°C em 8 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 24°C em 8 de setembro?<1¢
- A temperatura máxima em Amsterdã será de 25°C ou mais em 8 de setembro?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a low-pressure system and associated frontal passage will bring persistent cloud cover, rain, and southwesterly flow to Amsterdam on September 8, limiting daytime heating and holding maximum temperatures near or below the 20 °C seasonal average. Official guidance from sources such as the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble runs emphasize high precipitation probability and reduced insolation, shifting trader sentiment toward the 19–20 °C outcomes that dominate current implied probabilities. Cooler scenarios gain traction as updated model cycles incorporate the latest observational data showing cooler maritime air advection. Resolution hinges on the official highest temperature recorded at Schiphol Airport, with any late-model warming or clearing potentially narrowing the spread.