- Elon Musk fará entre 200 e 219 publicações no Twitter de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?100¢100%
- Elon Musk publicará entre 180 e 199 tweets de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk postará de 160 a 179 tuítes entre 11 de setembro e 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk fará entre 220 e 239 postagens no Twitter de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk fará entre 140 e 159 tweets de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk publicará entre 240 e 259 tweets de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk publicará de 280 a 299 tweets de 11 de setembro a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk irá publicar entre 260 e 279 tweets de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk fará entre 120 e 139 publicações no Twitter de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk postará entre 320 e 339 tweets de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk fará entre 300 e 319 tweets de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon Musk postará entre 100 e 119 tweets de 11 de setembro a 18 de setembro de 2026?0¢0%
Traders have priced the 200-219 bracket at near-certainty because Elon Musk’s posting pace through mid-September 2026 has tracked squarely inside that window, with live trackers showing roughly 197 posts by September 18 and recent full-week totals landing in the low-to-mid 200s. September historically averages lower volume than peak 2025 periods, reflecting a steadier cadence of company updates on Starlink, Tesla, and SpaceX alongside occasional replies rather than sustained high-output streaks. This pattern aligns with the market’s strong consensus around the frontrunner outcome. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden surge tied to major breaking news or a multi-day engagement spike, while a sharp drop below 200 would need an unusually quiet final stretch with minimal new developments.
Regras
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.