This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Recent rebounds in Tesla and SpaceX shares have positioned Elon Musk’s net worth near $850 billion as of late August 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the $800–900 billion range with six days left until August 31. Tesla stock has recovered from July lows near $300 amid quarterly revenue growth of 26 percent and continued robotaxi development, while SpaceX shares stabilized above recent troughs following its June IPO volatility and broader tech-sector pullback tied to AI spending concerns. These movements reflect the heavy weighting of Musk’s roughly 42 percent SpaceX stake and 11–20 percent Tesla holdings, with limited catalysts expected before month-end that could shift the valuation into higher or lower brackets.