Vencedor da eleição para o Congresso do Campeche
PolíticaEleiçõesMéxicoEleições GlobaisEleição PrincipalEleições no México
Data de início
2026-10-09
Data final
2027-06-07
Volume 24h
$3K
Volume total
$4K
  • A Morena ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição do Congresso de Campeche de 2027?39¢
  • O MC ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição do Congresso de Campeche de 2027?26¢
  • O PAN ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição para o Congresso de Campeche em 2027?15¢
  • O PT ganhará o maior número de assentos na eleição para o Congresso de Campeche em 2027?9¢
  • O PRI ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição para o Congresso de Campeche em 2027?7¢
  • O PVEM vencerá a eleição para o Congresso de Campeche em 2027 com o maior número de cadeiras?3¢

Recent October 2026 surveys for Campeche state legislative contests show Morena maintaining a modest lead in party identification and vote intention, yet Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) remains within striking distance in key municipalities and overall projections, producing a narrow gap that sustains balanced market pricing. Internal Morena frictions have prompted national party intervention to unify factions ahead of candidate selection, while the state electoral institute has adjusted the 2026-2027 calendar for precampaigns, coalitions, and independent candidacies. These factors, combined with the current congress composition featuring Morena and MC as the largest blocs, leave open multiple paths for seat outcomes depending on turnout patterns, alliance deals, and late momentum shifts before the June 2027 election.

Regras

Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Campeche are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Campeche as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Campeche and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche (https://www.ieec.org.mx/).

Vencedor da eleição para o Congresso do Campeche

Mercados relacionados