- Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?100¢100%
- Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?0¢0%
- Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on September 30?0¢0%
- Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on September 30?0¢0%
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on September 30?0¢0%
- Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on September 30?0¢0%
- Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on September 30?0¢0%
Traders see the USD to Iranian rial exchange rate exceeding 2.2 million by end-September 2026 as the near-certain outcome, reflecting sustained high inflation, limited access to foreign reserves under sanctions, and ongoing pressure on the rial from monetary expansion and reduced oil export revenues. Recent diplomatic tensions and enforcement of export restrictions have reinforced expectations of continued depreciation, consistent with the historical pattern of sharp rial weakening during periods of elevated geopolitical risk. A major sanctions relief package, verified increase in crude sales, or credible domestic stabilization measures could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require verifiable policy changes within the resolution window to alter the current trader consensus.
Zasady
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.