- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?100¢100%
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?0¢0%
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?0¢0%
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?0¢0%
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?0¢0%
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?0¢0%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day's sixth weekend has locked in overwhelming trader consensus around a 15 million-plus gross thanks to its record-setting hold as the No. 1 film for six straight frames. The Tom Holland-led MCU entry opened to a historic $360 million domestically in late July, crossed $900 million by early September, and posted an 18 million three-day result in the Sept. 4-6 frame with a modest 19-20% drop and solid per-theater averages near 5,100. Its 2.5x legs, broad audience appeal, and absence of major counterprogramming have sustained momentum far beyond typical superhero patterns. An upset below 15 million would require an unforeseen collapse from holiday shifts or sudden audience fatigue, scenarios that appear remote given the film's consistent trajectory and cultural staying power.
Zasady
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.